MATHEMATICAL FOUNDATIONS OF TIME SERIES ANALYSIS THEORY AND CASES

Author: Carlos Polanco

Affiliation: Department of Electromechanical Instrumentation, Instituto Nacional de Cardiología Ignacio Chávez, Mexico City, Mexico

MATHEMATICAL FOUNDATIONS OF TIME SERIES ANALYSIS THEORY AND CASES

ISBN: 979-8-89881-022-1
eISBN: 979-8-89881-021-4 (Online)

Introduction

Mathematical Foundations of Time Series Analysis: Theory and Cases is designed for readers seeking depth and application alike, the book covers foundational ideas such as stationarity, decomposition, trend analysis, and autocorrelation, while also guiding readers through advanced tools like ARIMA models, Kalman filters, and wavelet-based forecasting.

Organized into two distinct parts, the first section introduces the mathematical underpinnings of time series functions, including data behavior patterns, interpolation techniques, and multivariate models. The second section contextualizes these theories through real-world case analyses in areas such as financial risk, epidemiology, price indexing, and seismic activity. Each chapter incorporates examples, stepwise calculations, and remarks that reinforce both conceptual clarity and applied insight.

Key Features:

  • - Defines and interprets the core components of time series, including trends, cycles, and seasonal patterns
  • - Models univariate and multivariate time-dependent data with precision
  • - Forecasts short-, medium-, and long-term events using advanced prediction frameworks
  • - Integrates statistical and computational tools for practical implementation
  • - Demonstrates applications of methodologies to diverse domains such as economics, health, seismology, and demographics
  • - Analyzes real datasets using worked examples and structured case-based reasoning


Readership:

For graduate students, researchers, and professionals in statistics, econometrics, engineering, and data science.

Preface

This book is intended to provide a rigorous introduction to the mathematical foundations of the Time series analysis. It is designed for readers who are either new to the field or possess preliminary knowledge and seek to enhance their understanding of essential concepts and analytical methodologies within the discipline.

The material is structured systematically to offer a comprehensive overview of fundamental topics, including classical mechanics, thermodynamics, electrodynamics, and quantum mechanics. Each theoretical framework is presented with precise mathematical foundations of the time series analysis and is accompanied by an explanation of the physical laws that govern each domain.

The text emphasizes mathematical accuracy and conceptual clarity. Each chapter contains a selection of carefully designed exercises and problems aimed at facilitating the application of theoretical concepts and fostering the development of analytical skills essential for a thorough engagement with the subject matter. Readers are encouraged to approach these exercises with diligence, as they provide important practice in mastering the theoretical constructs presented.

The chapters are organized to build sequentially upon prior knowledge, allowing for a gradual progression in both complexity and depth of the content. Summaries at the end of each chapter encapsulate the central concepts and serve as a concise reference for reviewing key ideas.

This work aspires to function not only as an academic resource but also as a source of intellectual engagement for those pursuing further study in physics. Readers are encouraged to critically examine the material, to consider its implications, and to cultivate an inquisitive approach toward the fundamental structure of the universe.

The author would like to acknowledge the Faculty of Sciences at Universidad Nacional Aut´onoma de M´exico and Instituto Nacional de Cardiolog´ıa for providing cases and examples.

Carlos Polanco
Department of Electromechanical Instrumentation
Instituto Nacional de Cardiolog´ıa Ignacio Ch´avez
Mexico

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